Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Scott | 25 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Bennett | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Plummer | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Meacham | 20 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| W. Williams | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Roberts | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Binnie | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Cripe | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Stafford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cage | 34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Burrell | 34 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| J. Doellman | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Finn | 31 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| W. Caudle | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| J. Duncan | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Lucas | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Thornton | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Jackson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter