Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✗ (25.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -22 (57-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moore | 32 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| R. Marentez | 31 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 19 | - |
| F. Abdelsamad | 26 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 25 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| J. Stearns | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Butts | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Archibeque | 35 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| M. Kline | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| M. Gordy | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Randle | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Taibi | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Olson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| S. Nolen | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Brockman | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter