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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% -
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roberson * 37 6-11 1-3 8-10 7 1 1 0 4 21 15 -
E. Shelton * 37 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 11 4 -
R. Steele * 35 3-3 1-1 6-6 5 3 2 0 5 13 15 -
J. Davidson * 25 1-4 0-0 0-1 11 0 1 1 0 2 11 -
C. Davis 28 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 4 -1 -
J. Felix 23 3-6 2-3 5-6 5 0 1 2 1 13 14 -
E. Brock 11 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
J. Jonus 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Roberts * 36 4-9 0-2 7-10 11 1 3 1 2 15 20 -
Shane Power * 36 5-19 2-11 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 13 -1 -
O. Harper * 31 6-12 0-3 2-3 4 1 4 1 1 14 11 -
W. Frazier * 31 4-16 2-8 0-0 3 0 3 1 2 10 -1 -
G. Ervin * 24 0-7 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Edmondson 15 1-5 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
D. Slater 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
W. Morgan 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Rhodes 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 1 5 -
T. McTiller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter