Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roberson * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| E. Shelton * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Steele * | 35 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Davidson * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| C. Davis | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Felix | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| E. Brock | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Jonus | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Shane Power * | 36 | 5-19 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| O. Harper * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| W. Frazier * | 31 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Slater | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Morgan | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. McTiller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter