Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +30 (79-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Titchenal | 32 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| G. Jones | 30 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Whiten | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. McGinn | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Henry | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fitzgerald | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Gloger | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Fells | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| G. Ethington | 23 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Campbell | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Sanders | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Metelski | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Bruckner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Baker | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter