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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 66.6% 33.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKnight * 32 2-6 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 1 1 7 4 -
G. Ware * 29 6-10 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 12 6 -
D. Teague * 28 6-14 3-6 2-4 8 1 1 0 0 17 13 -
S. Heber * 23 1-6 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
C. Hartley * 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Andrew Ford 20 1-2 0-1 3-3 0 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Davis 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
X. Price 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
M. Carroll 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
A. Liddell 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Wilkinson * 36 5-8 1-3 3-4 5 1 0 0 3 14 9 -
C. Hanson * 28 3-8 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
Sharif Chambliss * 24 0-3 0-3 0-2 3 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Parker * 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
A. Helmigk * 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
A. Tucker 27 5-8 2-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 14 9 -
K. Taylor 25 2-6 1-3 6-8 2 1 1 0 3 11 6 -
R. Nixon 11 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
M. Flowers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Butch 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Chappell 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
G. Stiemsma 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter