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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Utes +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure * 39 9-15 5-6 0-0 1 2 4 0 5 23 10 -
M. Thomas * 37 5-12 0-1 4-5 2 0 4 0 4 14 4 -
J. Sharper * 29 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 3 2 -
C. Walton * 26 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Camara * 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
B. Hudson 17 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
C. Manker 16 1-6 0-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
T. Smith 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bogut * 39 7-12 1-1 5-6 15 4 1 3 1 20 30 -
J. Hawkins * 34 8-10 0-0 2-5 8 1 1 0 6 18 12 -
R. Chaney * 28 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
J. Calvin * 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Mayo, Jackson 37 3-8 3-7 1-2 4 7 1 0 5 10 9 -
B. Markson 32 3-5 0-0 4-4 2 2 2 0 2 10 9 -
T. Drisdom 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Langvad 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
C. Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Schmidt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Iverson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter