Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Nelson | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Morris | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Morris | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 22 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Verwers | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Patterson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. DeVries | 36 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Granger | 33 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| A. Neale | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Walters | 23 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Wall | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Danridge | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Harden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Walter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Osby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Phaler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Prentice | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter