Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 33 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| G. Alexander | 29 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Ford | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Guidry | 23 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Plank | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Ford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wallace | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McKinney | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| N. Funk | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Mathies | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Motz | 24 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Tolliver | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Miliner | 19 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Watts | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Day | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Hibma | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter