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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% -
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 44 5-17 1-8 4-4 8 6 1 0 2 15 11 -
G. Brunner * 39 7-12 1-3 9-15 7 1 0 0 4 24 16 -
M. Henderson * 36 3-8 0-1 1-2 2 1 5 0 2 7 5 -
A. Haluska * 34 6-11 1-2 4-4 3 3 0 1 3 17 10 -
E. Hansen * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
D. Thomas 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
J. Brownlee 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Reed 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
A. Thompson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
S. Gorney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 42 9-25 6-14 1-2 0 2 0 0 6 25 -4 -
G. Brown * 38 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 0 2 10 12 -
D. Wohl * 36 1-3 0-0 0-1 6 6 2 0 1 2 12 -
S. Harrell * 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
J.C. Mathis * 15 1-6 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 3 0 2 6 -
R. Coleman 38 3-9 2-7 4-4 1 0 0 0 2 12 2 -
B. Petway 31 6-12 0-1 4-5 10 3 1 0 3 16 15 -
C. Sims 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
A. Bell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter