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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 77.6% 22.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore * 35 10-22 6-11 4-6 2 3 3 0 3 30 13 -
J. Terrell * 34 8-11 0-0 5-6 4 1 1 0 0 21 16 -
C. Smith * 33 5-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 11 7 -
S. Foster * 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
J. Holwerda * 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 1 1 0 5 -
D. Przybyszewski 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Cage 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
A. Gordon 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Carroll 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
T. Skuchas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hudson * 38 8-12 5-7 4-5 3 1 1 0 1 25 17 -
B. Bass * 37 7-10 0-0 6-9 14 3 3 1 1 20 30 -
D. Mitchell * 34 3-7 3-6 7-8 2 6 2 0 3 16 16 -
G. Davis * 29 5-10 0-0 3-8 5 1 0 3 0 13 12 -
B. Balla * 21 2-8 0-3 0-2 4 0 0 0 3 4 -3 -
X. Whipple 25 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 5 1 0 2 3 9 -
R. Neltner 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter