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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lucas 34 10-14 0-0 1-4 3 0 2 0 4 21 8 -
C. Stephens 30 3-12 2-8 3-3 2 1 0 0 2 11 0 -
N. Dewitz 28 6-13 3-6 0-0 9 4 1 1 1 15 16 -
J. Fontenet 24 3-7 2-5 1-2 2 5 1 0 1 9 9 -
S. Cuic 23 2-6 1-4 2-3 1 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
J.S. Nash 23 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
L. Hurd 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
K. Jeffers 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
H. Brown 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Remmers 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Jones 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Hughes 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff McMillan 34 5-7 0-0 10-17 12 1 1 1 2 20 26 -
N. Curtis 32 2-8 0-3 0-0 9 0 1 2 0 4 8 -
D. Craven 28 3-12 0-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 7 -2 -
E. Craven 25 12-19 4-5 2-2 4 3 6 0 2 30 22 -
R. O'Neil 22 6-11 1-3 0-0 10 1 1 0 0 13 14 -
G. Guenther Jr. 16 0-4 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
G. Pruitt 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
A. Betz-White 10 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
D. Shackleford 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
N. Young 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Moore 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Penrose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Doucette 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Chang 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Gaudino 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter