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2005-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 38 6-14 2-7 4-5 4 5 1 0 2 18 12 -
B. Taylor * 35 3-9 2-6 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 10 5 -
M. Hairston * 27 3-8 1-2 2-5 1 0 0 0 2 9 0 -
J. Kent * 22 2-4 0-0 0-2 8 1 1 0 1 4 9 -
M. Leunen * 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
C. Oguchi 20 4-11 2-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 12 4 -
R. Schafer 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Platt 14 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Lincoln 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Zahn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 37 5-9 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 11 5 -
D. Thompson * 33 3-10 1-3 3-4 12 1 0 0 4 10 9 -
Brian Morrison * 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 5 0 -
J. Farmar * 24 2-5 0-2 6-6 3 5 1 0 4 10 10 -
J. Johnson * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Shipp 32 8-10 0-1 4-7 6 1 1 0 0 20 18 -
M. Fey 30 6-7 0-0 3-3 11 3 0 4 1 15 25 -
M. McKinney 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Hollins 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter