Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 38 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Townes * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| O. Famutimi * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Modica * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Michael Jones * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 34 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Watson * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| T. Douglas * | 36 | 5-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Q. Brown * | 33 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| I. Young * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Gaines * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Hayles | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Derozan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Edun | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter