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2005-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +20 (66-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Cook 40 6-19 2-9 0-0 6 1 3 0 0 14 5 -
T. Goode 27 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 2 9 6 -
S. Regan 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
D. Ruffin 24 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Ford 23 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 3 1 -
B. Lowndes 22 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 4 0 -
B. Glowiak 18 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Rembert 13 1-5 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -
A. Zimnickas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Dodge 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Cabrera 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McCollum 35 6-13 0-0 2-2 8 4 2 0 2 14 13 -
Cori Spencer 34 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 5 6 3 -
A. Hardy 32 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 12 8 -
B. Santiago 31 3-8 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 10 6 -
M. Popoko 29 3-5 2-3 6-7 5 2 0 0 3 14 13 -
M. Orfini 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
H. Feist 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 3 0 -
J. Kobryn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Wilky Colin 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Bamiro 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Noble 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter