Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -42.9 | ✗ (47.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| B. Sullivan * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Cooper * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| A. Gahlmann * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Jeter | 35 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Aaker | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Lewis | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Vance | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Watson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Riley * | 38 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| J. Cox * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Dukes * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Gumbs * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Gaines * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Hazel | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Ingerson | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter