Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucious Wagner | 35 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| M. Webster | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 9-15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| A. Burton | 29 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Gore | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Petty | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Strickland | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Ottens | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Phifer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Booker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Randolph | 28 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| P. Eggers | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Brooks | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Tracy | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Grant | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Korver | 17 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Works | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Houston | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Bancroft | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Richie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Powell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter