Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.