Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (42.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +45 (75-30). Predictions use season-end ratings.