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2005-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +22 (66-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stehle 32 5-9 0-0 4-5 9 3 2 0 4 14 15 -
K. Rogus 31 1-8 0-6 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 2 -5 -
B. Cusworth 31 2-6 0-0 4-10 4 1 1 1 3 8 6 -
J. Norman 29 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -1 -
D. Giovacchini 25 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Goffredo 17 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
M. Beal 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
Z. Martin 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
G. Beatty 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 3 0 0 4 5 -
K. Yada 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Greenman 33 5-8 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 13 11 -
W. Venable 32 6-8 1-2 0-0 3 7 1 0 3 13 13 -
N. Savage 23 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 3 2 -
J. Wallace 23 4-6 0-1 2-3 4 2 0 3 3 10 10 -
Andre Logan 21 6-6 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 15 12 -
A. Carter 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 3 4 8 -
L. Owings 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 1 5 0 2 -
M. Stephens 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 6 6 -
M. Schafer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
P. Ekeruo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Rudoy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Steuerer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Berger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Sargeant 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Conway 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter