Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Feeley | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| R. Gogerty | 34 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| B. Hodges | 31 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 13 | - |
| S. Davis | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Zito | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Bilal | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Housman | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Knight | 14 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Pugh | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Gaskin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Christensen | 35 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Vetrano | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| I. Karalis | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Walls | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Janev | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| K. Kleist | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Sturgill | 22 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Durant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter