Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (70-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chelsea Newton * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 29 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter