Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (63-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Johnson * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chantelle Anderson * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Dalma Ivanyi * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Katie Mattera | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nikki McCray | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Edna Campbell | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kristi Harrower * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Nicole Ohlde * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kristen Mann | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacqueline Batteast | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter