Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -3 (58-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Marlous Nieuwveen | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gordana Grubin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jenni Benningfield | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yolanda Paige | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter