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2005-06-24

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 โœ— (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -11 (50-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Whalen 36 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 5 3 0 6 8 6 -
N. Sales 34 5-17 1-4 3-4 4 2 2 0 2 14 3 -
K. Douglas 34 2-11 0-4 0-1 6 2 0 0 0 4 1 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 26 4-10 0-2 5-5 13 3 3 1 2 13 21 -
B. Wyckoff 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Dydek 17 4-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 1 9 7 -
A. Jones 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
J. Derevjanik 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Griffith 44 2-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 4 6 3 -
T. Penicheiro 36 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 7 4 -
N. Powell 33 0-10 0-5 1-2 4 0 2 1 1 1 -3 -
K. Lawson 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
D. Walker 20 6-11 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 1 4 14 9 -
C. Newton 14 1-5 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -4 -
R. Brunson 12 1-3 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
H. Maiga-Ba 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
M. Lijie 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter