Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Galloway * | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Thornton * | 25 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J. Rich * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Webb * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Battle * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Swann | 29 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Waleskowski | 27 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Wilson | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Richardson | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Romero | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Mims | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. May * | 30 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 31 | - |
| M. Williams * | 24 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Scott * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Arriaran | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Noel | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| R. Terry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter