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2005-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.8% 74.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Galloway * 35 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 6 4 0 4 7 11 -
A. Thornton * 25 8-10 1-1 2-4 6 0 1 1 2 19 15 -
J. Rich * 22 4-11 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 8 2 -
C. Webb * 7 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Battle * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
I. Swann 29 4-12 3-8 0-0 3 2 3 0 5 11 2 -
A. Waleskowski 27 5-10 3-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 13 12 -
A. Wilson 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. Richardson 15 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
D. Romero 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Mims 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roche * 37 4-10 1-3 6-7 5 10 4 0 3 15 21 -
J. Manuel * 30 2-4 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 1 1 8 7 -
S. May * 30 13-15 0-0 6-10 12 0 1 1 0 32 31 -
M. Williams * 24 7-11 2-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 17 9 -
M. Scott * 24 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 6 6 -
E. Arriaran 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 0 -
D. Noel 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 8 2 0 1 4 11 -
R. Terry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Thomas 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 0 -

* = starter