Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Boylan | 38 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Frazier | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. White | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Locke | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Heard | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Cook | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Calicott | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Porter | 25 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Schille | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 25 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Ost | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Bell | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Misko | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Henning | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Bates | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter