Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lucas * | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| N. Dewitz * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Stephens * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Hurd * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Jeffers * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J.S. Nash | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| J. Fontenet | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Cuic | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| H. Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson * | 39 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A. Afflalo * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Farmar * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| M. Fey * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Shipp * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brian Morrison | 28 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Hollins | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. McKinney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter