Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. DeForge | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| P. Pierson | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Wright | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Harrison | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Christensen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wauters | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | - |
| B. Hammon | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Robinson | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| V. Johnson | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| E. Baranova | 31 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Christon | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Moore | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Frett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter