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2005-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (35.3 off)
Pythagorean 11.4% 88.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +41 (94-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Young 36 2-10 1-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 7 0 -
N. Watson 34 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
Q. Brown 34 5-12 1-5 6-6 8 1 3 1 4 17 14 -
F. Tolbert 29 3-10 1-5 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
T. Douglas 27 3-10 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 7 -1 -
D. Hayles 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
K. Derozan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Jackson 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Gaines 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. O'Connor 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Edun 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Daniel 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Campbell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Shelton 35 6-10 4-6 8-8 5 4 2 0 0 24 25 -
J. Roberson 32 8-14 5-7 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 24 16 -
C. Davis 25 7-8 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 2 2 18 16 -
J. Felix 22 2-5 2-5 2-2 8 2 1 1 2 8 13 -
J. Davidson 21 2-5 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 3 0 4 8 -
J. Jonus 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Steele 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 -
E. Brock 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 7 -
L. Williams 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
S. Taylor 4 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jason Reese 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter