Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hodge * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 38 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Collins * | 24 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Brackman | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| G. Grant | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Simmons | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| M. McLean * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Bannister * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Brown * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| G. Forbes | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Cain | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Joseph | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Campbell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter