Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +14 (65-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Langhorne | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Naylor | 36 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| C. Osborn | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 30 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Z. Allison | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Oupoh | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. White | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Canady | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howell | 38 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Brown | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Epps | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| I. Smith | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| L. Posey | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Griffin | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Guidry | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Floyd | 13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Richmond | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Sauls | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Neukomm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter