Model Predictions
| Model | Seton Hall Pirates | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | +23.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +21 (79-58). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Seton Hall Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Whitney | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Copeland | 32 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | - |
| B. Laing | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| John Allen | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Nutter | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andre Sweet | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| G. Billmeier | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Cerasoli | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Cousin | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Messy | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Sumpter | 34 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Randy Foye | 34 | 11-15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Lowry | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Ray | 30 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| W. Sheridan | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| J. Fraser | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Austin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Nardi | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Charles | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Grace | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Dunleavy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter