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2005-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 35 7-17 5-13 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 19 9 -
D. Bradshaw * 27 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
A. Patterson * 26 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 10 7 -
Brandon Crump * 26 3-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 5 7 0 -
C.J. Watson 36 2-11 1-5 2-2 3 7 2 0 5 7 3 -
J. Smith 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Hendrix 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 2 3 -
M. Wingate 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
S. Asumnu 5 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 28 5-11 4-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 14 6 -
R. Rondo * 27 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 6 2 0 3 7 10 -
R. Morris * 27 3-4 0-0 3-6 7 0 1 2 2 9 13 -
C. Hayes * 22 5-6 0-0 3-3 4 2 2 1 1 13 15 -
M. Kennedy * 22 3-6 0-2 4-4 3 1 2 0 3 10 7 -
J. Carrier 19 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
R. Bradley 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
B. Perry 10 2-4 0-1 0-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
R. Moss 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
L. Obrzut 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 1 2 2 4 -
S. Thomas 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Crawford 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Stockton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Adetula 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. LeMaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter