Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| P. Davis * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| M. Ager * | 30 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Brown * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Hill | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Torbert | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Rowley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Trannon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vukusic * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Parker * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Jenkins * | 33 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Carson * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Duvancic * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Hachad | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Doyle | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Seacat | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter