Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 38 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| A. DeForge | 38 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A. Robinson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Harrison | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Wright | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Newton | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 29 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Powell | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Walker | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Brunson | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Haynie | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Lijie | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Buescher | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter