Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 38 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| A. DeForge | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| A. Robinson | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| G. Jackson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 40 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| L. Leslie | 38 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 8-14 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| N. Teasley | 34 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Dixon | 27 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| G. Grubin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Lewis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter