Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 39 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| A. Robinson | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 11 | - |
| P. Pierson | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. Taylor | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| G. Jackson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Harrison | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Wright | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Snell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rasmussen | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Canty | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| J. Arcain | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Snow | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Goodson | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Lawson-Wade | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter