Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +2 (59-57). Ratings: 2006 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna DeForge * | 40 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Lisa Harrison | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gwen Jackson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shereka Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Canty * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Adrienne Goodson | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter