Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Graves | 34 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| B. Polk | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| B. Crone | 33 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Sheets | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| B. Horan | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Smalligan | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Patterson | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wood | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Zach Williams | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Z. Boyd | 31 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Taylor | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Burleson | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Spencer | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Pleiman | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter