Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +1 (53-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maxwell | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Chadwick | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Lasme | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| A. Bowers | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| L. Carrier | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Viggiano | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Freeman | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Salovski | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scott | 31 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Roberts | 26 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| W. Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Plummer | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Binnie | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Meacham | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Jones | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Bennett | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Stafford | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Cripe | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter