Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Bird | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| B. Lennox | 33 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| I. Castro | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Burse | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. Thompson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Edwards | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Stevenson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Zara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 36 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | - |
| P. Pierson | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 19 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Christensen | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| G. Jackson | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Snell | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Wright | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter