Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -2 (55-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shane Power * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| O. Harper * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| W. Frazier | 25 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| W. Morgan | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Slater | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Townes * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| O. Famutimi * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Sullivan * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Jefferson * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 27 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Modica | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Thomas | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Hill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter