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Montana Grizzlies 77
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 69
2005-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.9% 35.1% - ✓
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 ✓ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 65.8% 34.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Martin 32 2-5 1-4 4-4 4 5 1 0 3 9 11 -
K. Criswell 32 2-5 0-2 12-14 4 4 1 0 1 16 19 -
K. Davis 31 6-8 2-2 4-6 7 0 0 0 7 18 10 -
M. Dlouhy 30 3-4 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 2 5 7 9 -
V. Matthews 26 3-4 0-1 3-4 4 3 0 2 0 9 14 -
C. Easley 18 3-9 2-4 1-3 4 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
L. Farr 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
J. Seyfert 14 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 7 7 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Feuerbach 34 2-8 2-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 6 1 -
S. Sir 32 5-14 4-11 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 16 4 -
R. Boykin Jr. 25 4-9 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 2 1 11 8 -
S. Garnett 21 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 4 5 -
D. Stevens 20 3-10 0-1 6-8 3 1 3 0 1 12 8 -
K. Golob 19 2-9 2-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 -2 -
K. Landry 19 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
C. Hill 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
R. McCurdy 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
P. Meynen 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter