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2005-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% -
Bradley-Terry 5.2% 94.8% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +27 (87-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Archibeque * 31 5-8 0-0 7-8 7 1 1 0 0 17 18 -
M. Kline * 28 3-11 0-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 6 -4 -
S. Nolen * 26 0-6 0-3 5-5 4 1 1 0 4 5 1 -
E. Olson * 25 3-8 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 7 5 -
J. Randle * 25 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 8 2 -
S. Taibi 24 4-12 2-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
M. Gordy 22 0-3 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
P. Brockman 9 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -3 -
J. Lewis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Michaelson * 27 1-3 0-2 2-4 2 4 2 0 1 4 8 -
D. Raivio * 24 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 9 10 -
R. Turiaf * 22 10-13 0-0 2-3 8 2 1 2 1 22 21 -
J.P. Batista * 21 7-8 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 16 14 -
E. Knight * 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
S. Mallon 25 6-11 0-1 5-7 5 2 0 0 0 17 13 -
A. Morrison 20 3-8 1-2 1-2 1 4 0 1 2 8 4 -
D. Pendergraft 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 1 2 0 5 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
C. Floyd 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. MacLeod 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
V. Neal 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter