🐻⬇️🏀

@
2005-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.8% 70.2% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% -
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Korver 30 4-7 2-3 5-6 7 1 0 0 0 15 16 -
C. Brooks 29 3-6 1-2 3-4 6 3 1 0 5 10 9 -
L. Randolph 28 1-7 1-2 2-3 3 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
P. Eggers 27 8-11 5-5 1-2 10 2 0 0 3 22 20 -
B. Heemskerk 15 2-5 1-1 2-3 7 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
N. Works 14 4-7 0-0 1-4 4 0 2 4 0 9 12 -
L. Houston 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
C. Bryant 13 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 5 4 -
S. Tracy 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 4 1 0 2 1 4 -
D. Bancroft 11 0-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 3 0 3 7 -
N. Grant 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin 37 0-6 0-2 0-1 4 4 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Sommerville 35 6-13 1-4 12-12 8 1 0 1 2 25 20 -
L. Wright 31 6-16 0-1 1-2 12 2 2 1 0 13 14 -
T. Bennett 26 4-14 0-3 5-8 5 2 2 0 1 13 7 -
J. Crouch 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 6 9 -
J.J. Tauai 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 0 3 -
P. O'Bryant 17 5-5 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 7 2 12 17 -
L. Stemler 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Rembert 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Heemskerk 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter