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2005-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 21.0% 79.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.3% 96.7% -
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bannister * 35 3-6 2-2 7-8 1 6 2 0 1 15 17 -
E. Brown * 31 2-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
S. Singletary * 16 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
J. Cain * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
T. Soroye * 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
J.R. Reynolds 38 5-10 2-3 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 15 4 -
M. McLean 35 7-17 4-11 4-5 3 2 4 2 3 22 13 -
G. Forbes 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
A. Joseph 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
D. Minter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Campbell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Forkin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bethel * 31 7-10 0-2 3-5 2 5 4 0 4 17 14 -
E. Williams * 29 8-11 0-0 1-3 8 2 0 2 2 17 16 -
J. Levy * 25 2-6 0-0 0-2 7 2 1 1 2 4 7 -
T. Downey * 23 3-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
V. Danelius * 22 5-5 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 13 15 -
J. Gray 30 6-13 3-6 5-6 6 2 1 0 0 20 16 -
T. Strickland 15 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Ellis 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
K. Visser 8 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Buck 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Feather 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Joyce 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Keith III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Jessen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter