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2005-02-27

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.5 (4.5 off)
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roche * 36 4-11 2-6 0-0 4 10 2 0 4 10 11 -
J. Manuel * 31 4-8 1-2 0-2 10 2 3 1 0 9 17 -
S. May * 31 8-16 0-0 6-8 11 0 0 3 5 22 15 -
M. Scott * 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -5 -
E. Arriaran * 25 7-11 3-6 4-5 4 1 0 0 2 21 13 -
D. Noel 22 5-7 2-3 0-0 4 3 2 1 1 12 14 -
M. Williams 19 1-3 0-1 3-4 5 0 1 1 1 5 8 -
R. Terry 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 3 -
Q. Thomas 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Caner-Medley * 36 7-18 1-3 1-1 5 0 0 1 0 16 4 -
C. McCray * 35 7-12 5-6 6-6 6 5 1 0 2 25 23 -
J. Gilchrist * 32 4-9 1-3 4-4 2 5 0 0 0 13 11 -
C. Garrison * 23 0-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 3 2 1 1 -
M. Grinnon * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Gist 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 8 8 -
E. Ibekwe 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
S. Ledbetter 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
M. Jones 13 4-8 4-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 12 8 -
W. Bowers 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -

* = starter