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2005-02-27

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson * 37 4-15 3-8 5-11 10 4 1 1 4 16 13 -
J. Farmar * 35 5-10 2-3 0-1 1 7 1 0 6 12 5 -
J. Shipp * 32 2-3 2-2 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 6 10 -
A. Afflalo * 31 4-5 3-3 6-8 4 3 3 1 3 17 20 -
M. Fey * 30 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 10 10 -
Brian Morrison 23 4-9 4-7 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 12 11 -
R. Hollins 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
M. McKinney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn * 37 7-19 2-7 1-2 3 6 4 0 3 17 8 -
C. Thomas * 37 4-17 2-7 0-0 4 7 3 0 3 10 4 -
C. Falls * 29 1-6 1-5 4-5 1 1 2 0 2 7 3 -
T. Francis * 24 5-7 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 3 2 10 13 -
R. Cornett * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Cornette 26 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 0 3 -
O. Isreal 16 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
D. Latimore 16 4-5 0-0 0-3 3 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
R. Carter 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter