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2005-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 74.6% 25.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Anderson * 37 6-12 0-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 12 7 -
M. Ager * 32 3-6 1-3 3-6 3 1 2 0 5 10 5 -
P. Davis * 30 6-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 12 10 -
S. Brown * 20 3-9 0-2 2-3 4 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
D. Neitzel * 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
K. Torbert 34 4-7 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
C. Hill 31 4-8 1-3 3-4 2 9 2 0 2 12 15 -
M. Trannon 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
Tim Bograkos 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
D. Rowley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Strickland * 43 4-8 1-3 4-5 2 8 0 0 1 13 14 -
B. Wright * 42 9-14 5-8 9-9 3 2 2 2 3 32 24 -
R. Vaden * 40 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 3 0 -
R. Wilmont * 27 0-3 0-2 6-8 6 0 4 0 1 6 12 -
D.J. White 25 7-8 0-0 3-8 1 0 0 1 1 17 10 -
A.J. Ratliff 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 3 -
P. Ewing Jr. 11 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
S. Kline 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hardy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Suhr 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter