Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Georgetown Hoyas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown Hoyas -11 (56-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sumpter * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Ray * | 36 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| R. Foye * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Lowry | 37 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| J. Fraser | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Austin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Dunleavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Grace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bowman * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| A. Cook * | 37 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| J. Green * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Wallace * | 32 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Hibbert * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Owens | 34 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Reed | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Crawford | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| RaMell Ross | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter